四季度磷酸铁锂超百万吨大扩产

Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) industry is focusing on profit recovery through demand growth and high-end premium pricing [2] Expansion Plans - The LFP industry has announced significant new capacity plans, exceeding one million tons by the fourth quarter of this year [3] - Major companies are leading the expansion with large-scale projects, such as Wanhu Chemical's 650,000 tons, Bangpu Times' 450,000 tons, and Fulin Precision's 350,000 tons [4][6] - The expansion is characterized by a focus on high-performance products like "high-pressure dense" and "lithium manganese iron phosphate (LMFP)" [6] Pricing Actions - A collective price increase is being pursued by the industry, with major companies negotiating price adjustments of 2,000 to 3,000 yuan per ton starting from late November 2025 [8] - Hunan Youneng has officially announced a processing fee increase of 3,000 yuan per ton effective January 1, 2026 [8] - The price increase is driven by a surge in downstream orders, with companies like Longpan Technology securing long-term contracts for 157,500 tons of LFP materials over five years [8] Market Demand - The anticipated demand for LFP materials is expected to exceed 1.1 million tons due to projected battery production capacity of over 700 GWh in 2026 [8] - The industry is recovering from prolonged losses, with many companies facing thin or negative profits due to rising raw material costs [9]