CHANGAN AUTOMOBILE-B(SZ:000625) 经济观察报·2025-12-21 04:15Core Viewpoint - Changan Automobile's recent capital actions are not merely for financing but represent a systematic and forward-looking strategic restructuring aimed at seizing future opportunities in a rapidly changing automotive industry [2][4]. Group 1: Capital Actions - Changan Automobile's capital layout consists of three distinct actions: the independent listing of its high-end brand Avita Technology, the capital increase for its core subsidiary Deep Blue Automotive, and the significant investment in its intelligent technology arm, Changan Technology [4][5]. - Avita Technology submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with revenue projected to rise from 28 million in 2022 to 15.195 billion in 2024, despite a cumulative loss nearing 10 billion [4]. - The capital increase for Deep Blue Automotive aims to secure its competitive position, with Changan planning to invest up to 3.122 billion, including intangible assets valued at 1.043 billion [4][5]. Group 2: Strategic Timing - The timing of these capital moves is closely related to the intense competition in the Chinese automotive market and the need for Changan to align with its development pace [7]. - The current market environment, characterized by price wars and declining profit margins, necessitates a robust financial buffer, particularly for Deep Blue Automotive, which is projected to have a revenue of 37.225 billion in 2024 but a net loss of 1.572 billion [7][8]. - Changan's capital operations are seen as a preparation for the new competitive cycle in the automotive industry, coinciding with the establishment anniversary of China Changan Automobile Group and the conclusion of the 14th Five-Year Plan [7][8]. Group 3: Future Capital Strategy - Changan Automobile's capital strategy is expected to evolve towards more sophisticated ecological operations along asset, liability, and equity lines [10][11]. - The company may explore "technology assetization" and "asset securitization," potentially packaging core technology patents for licensing to subsidiaries, thereby enhancing profitability and operational efficiency [11]. - Future plans may include optimizing capital structure and attracting diverse strategic investors to build industry alliances, with the possibility of further splitting off software subsidiaries for independent financing [11][12]. Group 4: Transformation and Challenges - Changan Automobile's capital strategy signifies a shift from traditional financing to a model that connects technology and defines ecosystems, moving valuation metrics from vehicle sales to technology licensing and ecological services [12]. - The company faces challenges in demonstrating the unique value and profitability prospects of Avita Technology's "CHN" model amidst significant losses, while also ensuring Deep Blue Automotive achieves a balanced financial position [12]. - This transformation within a state-owned enterprise not only impacts Changan's future but also serves as a case study for the broader Chinese automotive industry navigating its own transition [12].