投资前瞻:非主战场的春季躁动

Market News - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council issued the "Implementation Measures for Accountability for Violations in Investment Operations of Central Enterprises," specifying 98 accountability scenarios across 13 areas, effective from January 1, 2026 [2] - The People's Bank of China will issue 40 billion yuan of central bank bills in Hong Kong on December 22, with a maturity of 6 months [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission and other agencies introduced new pricing rules for internet platforms, effective April 10, 2026, prohibiting unreasonable restrictions on pricing behavior by platform operators [4] Sector Matters - The 27th Harbin Ice and Snow World opened on December 17, featuring an area of 1.2 million square meters and using 400,000 cubic meters of ice and snow, the largest scale in history [6] - China is actively promoting 6G innovation, with commercial applications expected to start around 2030 and large-scale deployment by 2035, potentially creating a trillion-yuan market [7] Company News - Sunac China announced that its debt restructuring is expected to take effect around December 23, resulting in the full release and exemption of approximately 9.6 billion USD in existing debt [8] - Xpeng Motors plans to launch mass-produced vehicles with L4-level autonomous driving capabilities in 2026 [9] - Moer Technology unveiled its new GPU architecture "Huagang" and two chips at the MUSA Developer Conference, with significant improvements in computing power and energy efficiency [9] - Huawei will hold a product launch event for the nova 15 series on December 22, featuring models equipped with Kirin 8 and Kirin 9 series chips [9] Lock-up Shares - A total of 48 companies will have lock-up shares released from December 22 to December 26, amounting to 20.985 billion shares, with a total market value of 188.011 billion yuan based on the closing price on December 19 [12] - December 22 is a peak day for lock-up releases, with 21 companies releasing shares worth a total of 87.69 billion yuan, accounting for 46.64% of the week's total [12][15] New Stock Calendar - Two new stocks will be issued this week (December 22-26), with a total of approximately 5.60493 million shares expected to raise 2.295 billion yuan [17] Institutional Outlook - Debon Securities forecasts a potential spring market rally in 2026, driven by multiple narratives including strong national narratives and the "deposit migration" theme, with a focus on hard technology sectors like AI and computing power [20] - Shenwan Hongyuan notes that while the spring market may face upward resistance, non-main battlefield sectors could see significant activity [21] - Everbright Securities anticipates continued policy support and capital inflows, leading to a potential upward trend in the market, with a focus on growth and consumer sectors [22]