2025年科尔尼行业系列回顾｜医疗与大健康

Group 1 - The global healthcare industry is entering a structural reshaping period by 2025, driven by technological breakthroughs, payment reforms, and digitalization, shifting focus from scale expansion to value creation and precision medicine [1] - The Chinese market is experiencing growth driven by healthcare insurance reforms and health consumption upgrades, while globally, companies face innovation pressures and capital constraints, necessitating clearer strategic focus to navigate uncertainties [1] - The rapid rise of GLP-1 drugs is reshaping the global healthcare industry, significantly reducing the risk of various chronic diseases but also causing structural anxiety among healthcare providers due to anticipated declines in clinical service demand, impacting industry profit models [2] Group 2 - The radioactive drug industry is emerging as a new "golden track" following ADC and GLP-1, showing breakthrough potential in precision diagnosis and treatment of major diseases, with the Chinese market poised for rapid expansion driven by substantial patient demand [6] - Post-COVID, health anxiety persists, with new technologies and products encouraging consumers to shift from passive treatment to proactive health management, creating new growth logic and innovation space for the healthcare industry in China [8] - Pharmaceutical companies are transitioning from a product-centric growth model to providing systematic solutions, integrating the entire value chain and fostering collaborative innovation to redefine their roles and growth logic within the healthcare system [12] Group 3 - Cardiovascular diseases represent a core long-term pressure on healthcare systems in China and globally, with a large patient base that continues to grow with population aging, necessitating enhanced prevention, diagnosis, and long-term management capabilities [13] - The Chinese healthcare industry is entering a new phase of high-quality, full-chain development driven by consumption upgrades and population aging, with the medical service market expected to reach 10 trillion yuan by 2030, becoming a significant growth engine for the Chinese economy [17] - Hospitals are accelerating digitalization and AI applications to enhance operational resilience and patient experience, with those that can flexibly restructure processes around patient needs likely to gain competitive advantages in the new growth cycle [18] Group 4 - The healthcare industry is transitioning from standardized medication to highly personalized treatment, with cell and gene therapy (CGT) emerging as a core innovation force, necessitating systemic restructuring around distribution, payment, and delivery models [22] - There is a significant gap in medical research focused on women's health, with only 7% of studies addressing women's diseases, highlighting the need to bridge this systemic disparity to unlock substantial social and economic value [23] - Many consumers understand the importance of health but struggle with daily life challenges that hinder healthy choices, indicating that true health consumption opportunities lie in designing products and services that seamlessly integrate healthy choices into everyday life [26] Group 5 - In a challenging environment marked by profit pressures, R&D uncertainties, and intensified competition, biopharmaceutical companies must focus on a few decisive issues to avoid strategic blind spots and maintain long-term performance [27] - The integration of artificial intelligence and value-based healthcare has the potential to transform the healthcare industry, overcoming fragmentation and driving systemic upgrades focused on outcomes [31] - The next wave of innovation in immunotherapy is shifting from single blockbuster drugs to multi-mechanism, cross-indication advancements, with future growth relying on breakthroughs in new targets and the redefinition of efficacy standards [32]