【公用事业】11月发电量同比增长2.7%，核电、光伏、风电同比增速边际改善 ——行业周报（20251221）（殷中枢/宋黎超）

Market Overview - The SW public utility sector declined by 0.59% this week, ranking 25th among 31 SW primary sectors; the CSI 300 fell by 0.28%, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.03%, and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index fell by 0.89% and 2.26%, respectively [4] - Among sub-sectors, thermal power decreased by 0.88%, hydropower by 1%, photovoltaic power increased by 0.92%, wind power fell by 0.95%, comprehensive energy services dropped by 0.53%, and gas increased by 0.11% [4] - The top five gaining stocks in the public utility sector were Zhongtai Co. (+4.53%), Sanxia Water Conservancy (+3.11%), Shuifa Gas (+2.76%), Chenzhou International (+2.41%), and Jinfang Energy Saving (+2.01%); the top five losing stocks were Mindong Power (-7.54%), Dazhong Public Utilities (-7.23%), Huatong Thermal (-6.95%), Hengsheng Energy (-6.55%), and Delong Huineng (-5.95%) [4] Price Trends - Domestic thermal coal prices are accelerating downward, with the Qinhuangdao port 5500 kcal thermal coal price dropping by 41 CNY/ton week-on-week; imported thermal coal prices remained relatively stable, with the Fangchenggang 5500 kcal thermal coal price unchanged, while the Guangzhou port 5500 kcal thermal coal price fell by 5 CNY/ton [5] Key Events - Various regions have released the bidding results for the "136" document incremental projects, with specific photovoltaic and wind power generation capacities and mechanism prices detailed for Jiangxi, Hubei, Xinjiang, and Shanxi [6] - In November, the industrial power generation reached 779.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%; from January to November, the total was 88,567 billion kWh, up 2.4% year-on-year [6] Industry Insights - The green electricity sector is entering the settlement phase of the "136" document, with provinces adjusting the pace of new green electricity installations based on supply and demand, although the overall trend of declining green electricity prices remains unchanged [7] - The National Development and Reform Commission has released policies to enhance green electricity consumption, and with green electricity subsidies accelerating, the green electricity sector is expected to see valuation recovery [7] - Ongoing reforms in the electricity market, including the expansion of the electricity spot market and auxiliary services, are progressing steadily, with a continued transformation of thermal power's functional positioning [7] - The signing phase for annual long-term contract electricity prices in 2026 presents uncertainties, suggesting a focus on regional thermal power operators with lower electricity price risks and stable profitability [7]