Group 1: Consumer Products - The export growth rates for electric tools, hand tools, and lawn mowers from January to November 2025 are -1%, -6%, and 34% respectively, with November showing a month-on-month increase due to the fading high base effect and strong seasonal demand for replenishment in overseas markets [4] - Exports of electric tools, hand tools, and lawn mowers to North America from January to November 2025 have seen significant declines of -21%, -10%, and -14% respectively, with November figures showing a year-on-year drop of -40%, -17%, and -44% [4] - Lawn mower exports are primarily directed towards Europe, with 63% of exports in 2024 and 71% in January to November 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 20% in the same period [5] Group 2: Capital Goods - Industrial sewing machines have the highest export market in Asia, accounting for 67% of total exports from January to November 2025, with major markets including Vietnam, India, and Indonesia [6] - Forklift exports are primarily to Europe (34%), Asia (30%), and Latin America (15%), with a notable decline in the European market share due to the situation in Russia [6][7] - Machine tool exports are mainly directed towards Asia, with a 50% share in January to November 2025, while exports to Russia have fluctuated significantly, dropping from 22% in 2023 to 10% in 2025 [7] - Mining machinery exports are led by Asia, Africa, and Europe, with cumulative export growth rates of +23%, +33%, and +19% respectively from January to November 2025 [7] - Emerging markets in Africa, Asia, and Latin America have shown strong growth, with forklift exports to these regions increasing by 36%, 16%, and 12% respectively [7]
【高端制造】同比高基数效应消退及海外季节性补库需求旺盛带动十一月出口同比改善——行业海关总署出口月报(十八)(黄帅斌/庄晓波等)
光大证券研究·2025-12-24 23:03