年内新发超2400只！试试这套“不心累”选基策略

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the paradox of choice in the investment fund market, highlighting that while the number of new funds has surged, this abundance of options can lead to decision fatigue and anxiety among investors [1][4][24]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of December 22, over 2400 new funds have been established this year, marking the second-highest record in history, with index products accounting for more than half of this issuance [1]. - The proliferation of funds has not simplified investment decisions; instead, it has complicated them, leading to a phenomenon known as "choice overload" [4][8]. Group 2: Psychological Insights - The article references a psychological experiment showing that more choices can lead to lower decision-making satisfaction, as seen in a jam tasting scenario where fewer options resulted in higher purchase rates [6]. - Behavioral finance concepts such as "regret aversion" and "loss aversion" are discussed, indicating that the anxiety of making the wrong choice can outweigh the satisfaction of making a correct one [8]. Group 3: Investor Types - Investors generally fall into two categories: "maximizers," who seek the best possible options, and "satisficers," who look for options that meet their minimum criteria [13][14]. - The investment industry tends to attract maximizers, leading to a culture of continuous comparison and adjustment, which can exacerbate the stress of decision-making [15]. Group 4: Strategies to Mitigate Decision Fatigue - The article suggests three strategies to reduce the mental burden of choosing among numerous funds: 1. Accept that there is no perfect investment portfolio, as outcomes are influenced by unpredictable future events [17]. 2. Establish clear criteria to narrow down choices, such as performance history and management experience [18][19]. 3. Embrace one's investment strategy and align it with personal goals, rather than constantly seeking the "optimal" choice [21]. Group 5: Future Considerations - The article emphasizes that the abundance of choices is likely to be a new norm for investors, and understanding personal investment preferences will be crucial in navigating this landscape [24][26]. - It is noted that many new funds may not offer significant advantages and that investors should focus on their foundational investment needs rather than being swayed by trends [24].