私募排排网·2025-12-25 10:00Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing a structural bull market driven by global monetary easing, geopolitical risks, and tight supply-demand dynamics, with significant price increases in various metals such as gold, silver, copper, palladium, and platinum [2][3][4]. Supply Constraints and Demand Drivers - The recent strength in the non-ferrous metals sector is attributed to global monetary easing expectations, geopolitical tensions, and tight supply-demand conditions [2]. - On the demand side, emerging industries are expected to drive incremental demand for non-ferrous metals, with copper consumption in China projected to reach 15.4 million tons by 2025, particularly from sectors like new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, wind power, and artificial intelligence, estimated to consume 3.8 to 4 million tons [3]. - On the supply side, global copper production has faced continuous disruptions, and the supply tightness is expected to deepen by 2026. Domestic aluminum production capacity is limited, and export quotas on rare metals like antimony and rare earths have further constrained supply [4]. Market Performance and Company Insights - In the A-share market, several non-ferrous metal companies have seen significant stock price increases, with companies like Tianli Composite and Western Materials rising over 150% in the past month. Year-to-date, companies such as Tianli Composite, China Tungsten High-tech, and Zijin Mining have doubled in value [2]. - The non-ferrous metals industry reported a total revenue of 2.82 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, with net profits rising by 41.55% to 151.29 billion yuan [12]. - Companies like Chuangjiang New Material and Shenghe Resources have shown exceptional performance, with net profit growth exceeding 40% year-on-year, indicating strong operational results in the sector [12][13]. Institutional Holdings - As of the end of Q3 2025, 116 non-ferrous metal companies were held by public funds, with 48 having a holding ratio exceeding 3%. Additionally, 82 companies were held by foreign capital, with 26 exceeding the same threshold. Notably, 16 companies had both foreign and public fund holdings above 3%, with significant stock price increases [9][10].