金银再创新高，《货币战争》作者“明年金价10000美元，银价200美元！”

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with silver reaching an all-time high and gold approaching its historical peak, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2][5]. Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - Silver has surged to a historical high of $75 per ounce, marking a 150% increase this year, particularly accelerating since October due to a historic short squeeze [2][3][10]. - Gold is also performing well, trading above $4500 per ounce and reaching a peak of $4530 per ounce, driven by ongoing geopolitical risks, particularly in Venezuela [5][8]. Group 2: Economic Predictions - Economist Jim Rickards predicts that gold could reach $10,000 and silver could hit $200 by 2026, citing sustained demand from central banks and institutional investors as key drivers [2][9][10]. - The expectation of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 is providing additional support for precious metal prices, as a low-interest environment typically benefits non-yielding assets like gold and silver [8][9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The sharp rise in silver prices is attributed to a supply-demand imbalance in the physical delivery market, with a significant disparity between paper silver and physical silver [9][10]. - Institutional investor demand, including sovereign wealth funds and endowment funds, is expected to increase, further pushing up prices as countries diversify away from potentially confiscable assets [9][10].