一日狂飙10%！白银今年暴涨超170%的背后：散户狂热正在把行情推向极端

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is experiencing significant price increases driven by strong industrial demand, tightening supply, and a surge of retail investor participation, leading to heightened market volatility [1][5][11]. Group 1: Price Movements - Silver prices have surged nearly 8% on Friday, marking the largest increase in over three years, with post-market and spot silver prices rising over 10% [1]. - The spot silver price reached approximately $79.31, with a daily increase of about 10.3%, and a year-to-date increase exceeding 170%, more than double the over 70% increase in gold during the same period [5][11]. - The COMEX December silver futures contract closed up 7.68% at $76.486, achieving the highest record and the largest daily increase since October 2022 [5]. Group 2: Market Drivers - Geopolitical tensions, a weakening dollar, and low market liquidity post-Christmas contributed to the historical highs in both gold and silver prices, with silver nearing $80 per ounce [3][5]. - The supply of independently mined silver is becoming increasingly scarce, while industrial demand, particularly from green industries like solar energy, continues to rise, putting pressure on market inventories [8][11]. Group 3: Retail Investor Participation - Retail investors are significantly driving the silver market, engaging in various forms of investment including physical silver, silver ETFs, and derivatives, with a notable increase in speculative trading [8][12]. - The trading volume of options for the largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, has surged, nearing levels seen during the 2021 Reddit-fueled trading frenzy [12]. Group 4: Market Risks - The current market exuberance raises concerns about overheating, as rapid price increases often lead to sharp corrections [6][12]. - Analysts warn that silver prices are prone to extreme volatility, characterized by rapid surges followed by significant pullbacks, necessitating cautious risk management strategies for investors [12].