市值风云·2025-12-31 10:08Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the 2026 "National Subsidy" policy for replacing old home appliances on leading home appliance companies' performance in the coming year, particularly focusing on Midea Group's stock buyback and financial performance [3][31]. Group 1: Stock Buyback and Market Performance - Midea Group has spent 10 billion on stock buybacks from June 17, 2025, to December 8, 2025, with 70.36% of the repurchased shares set for cancellation, signaling strong cash flow and valuation discount [3][4]. - Since the buyback began, Midea Group's stock has seen a maximum increase of over 15%, closing at a price that attempted to reach its historical high of 88.74 yuan per share [4]. - The stock's price-to-earnings ratio (PE) reached 13.32 times, with a dividend yield of 5.16%, indicating an attractive valuation [30]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Midea Group's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 409.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, with the first three quarters of 2024 showing a revenue of 364.7 billion, up 13.8% [5][10]. - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 38.54 billion, reflecting a 14.3% increase year-on-year, with the first three quarters showing a net profit of 37.88 billion, up 19.5% [10]. - Midea Group has consistently outperformed competitors like Gree Electric and Haier Smart Home in terms of revenue and net profit since 2020 [10][12]. Group 3: B2B Business Contribution - Midea Group's B2B business contributed significantly to its revenue, with 2024 B2B revenue at 104.5 billion, accounting for 26% of total revenue [15]. - The B2B segment includes various solutions such as new energy and industrial technology, smart building technology, and robotics, with the new energy and industrial technology segment showing a 20.58% year-on-year growth [16][20]. - The company has strategically elevated its B2B business to be on par with its consumer-oriented smart home business since 2020, marking a significant shift in its operational focus [19]. Group 4: Acquisition Strategy - Midea Group has a history of strategic acquisitions that have bolstered its growth, including the purchase of Toshiba's air conditioning business and KUKA Robotics, enhancing its capabilities in various sectors [22][24]. - The acquisitions have allowed Midea to fill gaps in its product offerings and expand its global influence, with a notable increase in goodwill, reaching 34.37 billion by the end of Q3 2025 [25]. - The company has not experienced significant goodwill impairment in any fiscal year, indicating successful integration of acquired entities [25]. Group 5: Future Outlook with National Subsidy - The new "National Subsidy" policy for 2026 will continue to support the home appliance sector but will be more focused and optimized, which is seen as a positive for leading companies like Midea [31].