美股IPO·2026-01-02 16:04Core Viewpoint - Nokia has undergone a significant transformation to embrace the artificial intelligence revolution, shifting its focus from mobile phones to providing hardware necessary for cloud services and data centers, supported by a $1 billion investment from Nvidia [1][3][15]. Group 1: Historical Context - Nokia was a dominant player in the mobile phone industry, with its iconic ringtone played 1.8 billion times daily by 2009, and held a 26.4% market share in 2000 [3][11]. - The company's market value peaked at approximately €286 billion during the internet bubble, contributing about 4% to Finland's GDP [11]. - Nokia sold 126 million units of its popular 3310 model, which featured the famous Snake game [11]. Group 2: Strategic Shifts - The rise of smartphones, particularly the iPhone in 2007, led to a dramatic decline in Nokia's sales, resulting in a loss of market share from nearly 40% in 2008 to a significant drop by 2014 [12][14]. - Nokia's decision to adopt Microsoft's Windows Phone in 2011 was a critical misstep, leading to poor sales of the Lumia brand and ultimately the sale of its devices and services division to Microsoft for €5.4 billion [12][13]. - Under CEO Rajeev Suri, Nokia shifted focus to network services, acquiring Alcatel-Lucent for €15.6 billion, which was a controversial but pivotal move for the company [13]. Group 3: Current Developments - Nokia is now focusing on emerging technologies such as cloud services and optical networks, with a recent acquisition of Infinera for $2.3 billion [15]. - The company aims to capitalize on the "AI supercycle," which is expected to drive significant spending in data centers, with its fiber technology facilitating information transfer [15]. - Following Nvidia's investment, Nokia's stock rose by 25%, although its current market value of approximately €32 billion is still far from its historical highs [15]. Group 4: Challenges Ahead - Analysts express concerns about Nokia's new strategy, highlighting the volatile nature of AI investments and the presence of competitors like Ciena and Cisco [16]. - There are significant worries among network operators regarding the future returns on AI investments, as they prefer not to rely heavily on a single supplier [16]. - Despite these challenges, Nokia's CEO remains optimistic about the company's ability to adapt and navigate the evolving landscape [16].