国泰海通|机械:科技驱动成长,出海重塑价值
国泰海通证券研究·2026-01-04 13:14

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes investment opportunities in the AI-driven growth of the equipment manufacturing industry, particularly in AI edge applications and computing infrastructure [1][2]. Group 1: AI Edge Applications - The AI edge sector is expected to see rapid growth, including humanoid robots, smart manufacturing with AI (mobile robots, collaborative robots), and various consumer AI products (e.g., AI smartphones, AI glasses, AI rings) [1]. - This growth will lead to a new cycle of demand for 3C devices and subsequently a new investment cycle in semiconductor equipment due to increased needs for training, inference, and storage chips [1]. Group 2: Computing Infrastructure - Investment in computing infrastructure is crucial for the implementation of AI edge applications. The article predicts rapid growth in AIDC investments, particularly in primary and secondary cooling solutions, recommending investments in chillers and core components like refrigeration compressors and water pumps [1]. - The article also highlights investment opportunities in energy solutions benefiting from power shortages, such as gas-fired power generation combined with heat recovery steam generators (HRSG) and solar-storage systems [1]. Group 3: Export Recovery in Machinery Manufacturing - The article identifies three main drivers for the expected recovery of machinery manufacturing exports by 2026: 1. A recovery in overseas demand due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which will boost global industrial product demand, particularly in categories related to real estate [2]. 2. Strong infrastructure demand in countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative, with significant growth in the Middle East's natural gas extraction sector, leading to increased exports of domestic oil service equipment [2]. 3. The demand for AI computing power is creating a gap in electricity supply, driving growth in gas turbines and diesel generator sets, as well as increased demand for drilling equipment and materials used in PCB production [2].