卢比奥的“总督梦”能成真么？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of the U.S. military operation in Venezuela, focusing on the potential appointment of Marco Rubio as the "governor" of Venezuela and the historical context of such a title in U.S. foreign policy [4][7][19]. Group 1: U.S. Military Action and Political Implications - The U.S. military operation successfully captured Venezuelan President Maduro, leading to discussions about U.S. "management" of Venezuela, with Rubio as a potential key figure [4][9]. - Rubio's long-standing commitment to regime change in Venezuela is highlighted, emphasizing his personal motivations tied to his Cuban heritage and political career [7][9]. - The U.S. faces a dilemma in balancing its desire for control over Venezuela while avoiding the negative connotations of colonialism and adhering to international law [11][18]. Group 2: Historical Context of "Governor" in U.S. Policy - The term "governor" has historical roots in U.S. colonial practices, where territories were managed by appointed governors, contrasting with the current situation in Venezuela, which is a recognized sovereign nation [13][16]. - Historical examples, such as Puerto Rico and American Samoa, illustrate the evolution from direct governance to self-rule, which is not applicable to Venezuela's situation [14][16]. - The article outlines significant differences between U.S. territories and Venezuela, including legal foundations, governance evolution, international reactions, and potential outcomes of intervention [16][18]. Group 3: Challenges to Rubio's Potential Appointment - The article identifies three major obstacles to Rubio's appointment as "governor": international law opposition, domestic skepticism within the U.S. government, and the complex internal situation in Venezuela [22][23]. - International condemnation of U.S. actions could lead to significant diplomatic isolation for the U.S. if it attempts to impose a "governor" on Venezuela [22]. - The internal resistance from Venezuelan military and militia groups complicates any potential governance structure that Rubio might attempt to establish [23]. Group 4: Economic Motivations Behind U.S. Intervention - The core motivation for U.S. intervention in Venezuela revolves around its vast oil reserves, with the U.S. aiming to control Venezuelan oil assets amidst the country's economic decline [26][29]. - Rubio's role in managing Venezuela's oil resources positions him as a key player in influencing the political landscape, allowing the U.S. to exert control without direct governance [29]. - The article suggests that this approach represents a new form of "informal empire," where economic influence replaces traditional administrative control [29][31].