市值风云·2026-01-07 10:25Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant profit growth expected for Zijin Mining in 2025, driven by both increased production and rising commodity prices, particularly gold and copper [3][5][12]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining anticipates a net profit of approximately 510-520 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 59%-62% [3]. - The company's non-recurring net profit is expected to be around 475-485 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 50%-53% [3]. - The production of gold is projected to reach about 90 tons, an increase of 17 tons compared to the previous year, while copper production is expected to rise to approximately 1.09 million tons, an increase of 20,000 tons [5][10]. Group 2: Production and Pricing Dynamics - The increase in production is attributed to successful acquisitions and operational improvements at various mines, including the Ghana Akim Gold Mine and the Kazakhstan Raygorodok Gold Mine [5][6]. - The prices of gold and copper have seen significant increases, with gold prices rising by 44.42% and copper prices by 8.5% in the first three quarters of 2025 [9][11]. - The average selling price for gold is projected at 746.43 yuan per gram, up from 516.83 yuan per gram in 2024, while copper prices are expected to average 60,878 yuan per ton, compared to 56,113 yuan per ton in the previous year [10]. Group 3: Cost Pressures and Strategic Management - Despite high profits, the company faces cost pressures, with unit costs for gold and copper rising by 15.2% and 14.4%, respectively, due to factors such as deeper mining operations and increased operational costs [11]. - Zijin Mining employs a counter-cyclical acquisition strategy, acquiring quality resources during industry downturns, which enhances its competitive edge [13][16]. - The company has focused on optimizing existing assets and improving operational efficiency during periods of high commodity prices, resulting in a significant cash flow surplus [14][16].