国泰海通｜策略：新兴产业空间广阔，看多中国产业龙头

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese emerging technology industry is in its early lifecycle stage, with high valuations, while companies with significant innovation advantages are expected to see market value growth. The manufacturing and consumption industries are more mature, and companies with solid global competitiveness are likely to see valuation increases [1]. Emerging Technology - The Chinese emerging technology sector, including semiconductors, innovative pharmaceuticals, and communication equipment, is still in its growth phase, with revenue and profitability lagging behind international leaders. However, the capital market has assigned high valuations, reflecting optimistic expectations for technological independence and industry catch-up. Companies with technological barriers and significant domestic substitution potential are expected to benefit more [2]. - Internet platform companies are projected to benefit from the rapid iteration of large models and AI applications, leading to valuation recovery and growth resonance [2]. Advanced Manufacturing - The domestic advanced manufacturing industry has developed relatively maturely, establishing solid global competitiveness due to a complete industrial system and significant efficiency cost advantages. In the new energy sector, lithium battery companies lead globally in scale and profitability, with head companies generally having lower valuations than overseas leaders, indicating a strong cost-performance advantage [2]. - Wind power profitability is weaker than that of overseas counterparts, but valuations are also low. High-end equipment and new materials industries have profitability comparable to overseas leaders, with valuations at reasonable levels, but there is substantial room for global expansion [2]. Consumer Sector - In the consumer sector, leading Chinese companies in product consumption, such as high-end liquor and beverages, have demonstrated strong profitability, but their growth heavily relies on the domestic market, resulting in lower global competitiveness compared to international leaders. The service consumption sector is still in its early development stage, with lower scale and profitability compared to overseas leaders [3]. - The consumer sector overall has a high cost-performance ratio, with potential growth opportunities in service consumption driven by structural transformation and in unique product consumption brands with global potential [3]. Investment Recommendations - Recommendations include leading companies in electric new energy, transportation equipment, communication equipment, electronics, and service consumption industries. Companies with significant innovation advantages and strong overseas expansion momentum are expected to accelerate their catch-up with international leaders or maintain their leading positions. The following sectors are highlighted for investment: 1. Advanced manufacturing leaders benefiting from strong profitability and global competitive advantages [3] 2. Emerging technology leaders benefiting from rapid improvements in Chinese innovation capabilities [3] 3. Service consumption and mass goods industries poised for growth due to structural transformation [3].