每日债市速递 | 央行将开展1.1万亿买断式逆回购

Monetary Policy Operations - The central bank announced a 28.6 billion yuan 7-day reverse repo operation on January 7, with a fixed rate of 1.40%, matching the tender amount of 28.6 billion yuan. On the same day, 528.8 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 500.2 billion yuan [1] Market Liquidity - The interbank market continues to maintain a loose liquidity environment, with the weighted average rate of DR001 slightly rising to around 1.26%. Overnight quotes on the anonymous click (X-repo) system are around 1.25%, indicating ample supply. Non-bank institutions' pledged certificates of deposit and overnight credit bonds are quoted around 1.40%. Traders noted that the central bank's net withdrawal increased after the New Year, but the impact on liquidity was limited, with recent central bank meetings reiterating the possibility of reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions to soothe market sentiment [3] Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.63%, showing a slight increase from the previous day [7] Bond Market Overview - The yields on major interbank government bonds have generally risen, with specific rates as follows: - 1-year government bond at 1.3050% (down 0.10) - 2-year at 1.4475% (up 3.75) - 3-year at 1.4700% (up 3.50) - 10-year at 1.7730% (up 1.05) - 30-year at 2.3325% (up 2.25) [9] Government Bond Futures - The main contracts for government bond futures saw declines: - 30-year contract down 0.44% - 10-year down 0.08% - 5-year down 0.06% - 2-year down 0.03% [11] Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of December 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at 33,579 billion USD, an increase of 11.5 billion USD from the end of November, reflecting a rise of 0.34%. This increase is attributed to the influence of major economies' monetary policies and macroeconomic data, alongside fluctuations in exchange rates and asset prices [13] Global Manufacturing PMI - In December 2025, the global manufacturing PMI was reported at 49.5%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, maintaining a range of 49%-50% for ten consecutive months. The average PMI for 2025 was 49.6%, up 0.3 percentage points from 2024 [15]