热点思考 | “新”新基建,地方如何适度超前?(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
赵伟宏观探索·2026-01-08 16:03

Core Viewpoint - The "15th Five-Year Plan" suggests "moderate advanced new infrastructure construction," emphasizing the need for local governments to implement this requirement through tailored approaches based on regional characteristics [1][59]. Group 1: Understanding "Moderate Advanced New Infrastructure" - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes "moderate advanced construction," focusing on the development of information communication networks, integrated computing networks, and major technological infrastructure, while also promoting the digital transformation of traditional infrastructure [2][60]. - The scope of new infrastructure has significantly expanded compared to the "14th Five-Year Plan," now covering communication networks, data, and computing fields, driven by the digital transformation of the economy [2][9]. - From 2019 to November 2025, investments in electricity, heat, internet software, and logistics have increased by 10.4%, 5.0%, and 4.1% respectively, indicating the core investment attributes of new infrastructure [12][61]. Group 2: Commonalities and Differences in Local Infrastructure Layout - Local governments focus on integrating infrastructure and enhancing information infrastructure, with 28 regions proposing the digital transformation of traditional infrastructure [3][15]. - In the North China region, the focus is on building national data hubs and integrating energy transformation, with Beijing leading in data management and resource centers [3][29]. - The East and South China regions leverage their advantages in low-altitude economies and water transport systems, emphasizing low-altitude infrastructure and smart upgrades to water transport [3][35]. Group 3: Policy Support for New Infrastructure in 2026 - Fiscal policies have increased support for new infrastructure through policy financial tools, with the China Development Bank providing 98.02 billion yuan for digital economy and AI projects [5][43]. - Monetary policies have introduced tools like technology innovation loans to support new infrastructure, with green loans and loans for infrastructure upgrades showing growth rates of 17.5%, 25.1%, and 22.3% respectively [6][49]. - Regulatory measures will optimize spatial layouts, control hidden debts, and prevent redundant construction, aiming to enhance the overall effectiveness of new infrastructure development [6][52].