2026年，全球资产会迎来巨变

Macro Situation - The macro situation has become increasingly uncertain following the U.S. arrest of Venezuela's president, leading to fluctuations in oil, commodities, gold, and silver prices [2] - Trump's potential military budget increase to $1.5 trillion for 2027 suggests a new arms race may be on the horizon [3][5] - The military-industrial sector in the U.S. has already seen a surge in stock prices [6] Military Industry - The military industry in China is expected to enter a new growth cycle during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on high-quality defense modernization and national unification [6][7] - The geopolitical landscape indicates that the military sector will be a key area of investment and development [8] Energy Competition - The U.S. aims to control Venezuela's oil resources, which could impact global oil pricing and the use of alternative currencies for oil transactions [9][10] - Greenland's resources, including significant rare earth and oil reserves, are also a target for U.S. interests, which could lead to energy supply disruptions for China [12][13] AI and Power Demand - Elon Musk predicts an unprecedented demand for electricity due to the rise of artificial general intelligence (AGI), which will require exponentially more computational power [17][22] - The current electrical grid is not equipped to handle this surge, leading to a potential shortage of transformers, which are becoming a strategic resource [28][30] Infrastructure and Manufacturing - The demand for power infrastructure, particularly transformers, is expected to skyrocket, benefiting manufacturers and suppliers of raw materials like copper and silicon steel [31] - China's ability to rapidly build data centers and enhance its computing infrastructure positions it favorably in the global race for computational power [34][35] Space Energy Revolution - Musk advocates for space-based solar energy as a solution to Earth's energy limitations, with advancements in launch costs making such projects economically viable [42] - The commercial space industry and related technologies are poised for significant growth as nations compete for orbital resources [43][44] Workforce Transformation - AI is set to replace many white-collar jobs, leading to permanent job losses in sectors like customer service and content creation [49][50] - However, the demand for skilled individuals who can manage and utilize AI technologies will remain, emphasizing the need for adaptation [52][53]