具身泡沫收缩，机器人ChatGPT时刻还没到｜虎嗅CES 2026讨论会

Core Insights - The article emphasizes a shift in the AI hardware industry towards practical applications and commercialization, moving away from grand narratives of universal robots to specialized solutions [6][7][10]. Group 1: Market Trends - The consensus at CES 2026 is that the "bubble is shrinking," with companies focusing on vertical scenarios rather than one-size-fits-all solutions [8]. - Companies are abandoning humanoid robots in favor of specialized devices, such as wheeled robotic arms and folding machines, indicating a trend towards smaller, cost-effective solutions [9]. - The introduction of home robots priced below 10,000 yuan is expected to lower industry entry barriers, exemplified by products like the remote-free home robot dog [9]. Group 2: Companion Robots - The companion robot market is becoming increasingly competitive, with a clear distinction emerging among survivors: those with precise product definitions, high technical barriers, or innovative forms like flying companions [12]. - The emotional value of companion robots is being engineered and quantified, with design principles being applied to create a sense of "life" in robotic movements [13]. - Companion robots are positioned not as replacements for pets but as alternatives for those who desire the emotional benefits of pet ownership without the responsibilities [13]. Group 3: Supply Chain Dynamics - The dominance of Chinese manufacturers at CES highlights a significant shift in the global supply chain, with the "East rising and West falling" narrative becoming increasingly evident [15]. - The efficiency of the Chinese supply chain allows for rapid hardware iteration, contrasting with the slower pace of Western teams reliant on Chinese components [15][17]. - The geographical concentration of manufacturing in regions like Dongguan provides a competitive advantage that is difficult to replicate [17]. Group 4: AI Glasses Market - The AI glasses market is characterized by intense competition, with various manufacturers vying for a share, but large companies are expected to dominate due to their supply chain capabilities [19][20]. - For AI glasses to achieve mass commercialization, they must excel in multiple areas such as weight, battery life, interaction, display, computation, and price, which is currently not the case [20]. - Opportunities still exist for startups in niche verticals, such as professional sports and industrial inspections, despite the competitive landscape [20]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The discussion among industry leaders indicates a growing focus on emotional needs, particularly in the companion robot sector, which targets a significant market of individuals seeking companionship [22]. - The transition from theoretical technology to practical engineering solutions is underway, with B2B applications likely to see commercialization before broader consumer adoption [22]. - The article concludes that the industry is shifting from questioning the feasibility of technology to evaluating the market value of products, marking a significant change in focus [25].