投顾周刊：物理AI将迎来“ChatGPT时刻”

Group 1 - Over 50 trillion yuan in time deposits are facing maturity, leading to a "deposit migration" and a re-pricing of asset allocation. By the end of 2026, the scale of time deposits maturing is estimated to be around 57 trillion yuan, with a focus on reallocation of funds in the context of deposit rates entering the "1% era" [2] - Bank wealth management continues to prioritize "fixed income+" at the beginning of the year, but product offerings are increasingly emphasizing multi-asset and diversification. In 2026, bank wealth management will enter a new phase of comprehensive net value, with newly issued products primarily consisting of closed-end fixed income types [2] - New regulations on public fund sales expenses will take effect from January 1, 2026, imposing stricter constraints on short-term trading behavior, with redemption fees for equity and mixed funds based on holding periods [2] Group 2 - Public funds are experiencing a "high-low switch" in positioning, with the digital economy expected to be a key focus area. Fund managers indicate a shift in expectations from AI technology infrastructure to application realization, with strong performance in the digital economy sector [4] - China's foreign exchange reserves reached a ten-year high, with gold reserves increasing for 14 consecutive months. As of December 2025, foreign exchange reserves stood at 3.3579 trillion USD, up by 11.5 billion USD [4] - Morgan Stanley has applied to issue cryptocurrency ETFs, marking its entry into the popular fund sector two years after the surge in U.S. cryptocurrency ETFs [4] Group 3 - Recent global stock market performance has been mixed, with the Chinese market showing gains while the U.S. market experienced declines. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.82%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 2.32% [6] - Recent trends in government bond yields show a mixed performance, with the 1-year Chinese government bond yield declining by 4.35 basis points to 1.29%, while the 10-year yield rose by 3.55 basis points to 1.88% [7] - The recent week saw stable performance in the Wande Fund Index, with the total stock fund index rising by 4.96% [10] Group 4 - In the commodity market, precious metals showed mixed trends, with COMEX gold rising by 4.36% and silver by 12.36%, while international oil prices continued to rise [12] - The recent week saw a rebound in the U.S. dollar index by 0.69%, with slight fluctuations in the RMB to USD exchange rate [12] - Recent data indicates that fixed income+ funds dominate both in number and scale, with 359 such funds accounting for 50.56% of total products and 66.54% of total scale [13][14] Group 5 - Bank wealth management subsidiaries have become the core force in financial product issuance, with 517 subsidiaries participating, accounting for 72.82% of all institutions [15] - City commercial banks and rural commercial banks have also been active in product issuance, contributing significantly to the issuance of bank-related products [16] - The overall trend indicates a shift from "scale-driven" to "capability-driven" for wealth management subsidiaries, providing diversified options for investors [17] Group 6 - Reports indicate that overseas "long money" is actively positioning in Chinese assets, with a notable increase in interest in the Chinese stock market, particularly in technology and biotechnology sectors [20] - Domestic institutions believe the market is likely to evolve from a "structural bull" to an "index bull," with a focus on AI applications and humanoid robot production [21] - There is a divergence in Wall Street's outlook on gold prices, with some institutions optimistic while others predict a decline in 2026 [22]