Wind万得·2026-01-11 22:42Market News - China will release December import and export data on January 14, with exports expected to grow by 3.0% year-on-year, down from 5.9% in November, while imports are anticipated to decline by 2.9% [3] - The trade balance for December 2025 will also be published on January 14, with total goods trade from January to November 2025 reaching 41.21 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [3] Commodity Futures - The Shanghai Futures Exchange will adjust the price limit for platinum and palladium futures contracts to 16% starting from January 13, 2026, with the trading margin standard set at 18% [4] Energy Outlook - The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will release its Short-Term Energy Outlook report on January 13, maintaining the WTI crude oil price forecast for 2025 at slightly below $69 per barrel [5] U.S. Economic Data - The U.S. will release December CPI data on January 13, with core CPI expected to rebound significantly, predicted at 0.36% by Morgan Stanley and 0.38% by Bloomberg, both higher than the average of 0.08% in October and November [6] - Key economic indicators including October and November PPI and November retail sales will also be released, with expectations of moderate PPI growth and a 0.7% rebound in retail sales for November [6] Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve will publish its latest Beige Book on January 14, indicating that government shutdowns and AI applications have weakened the job market, while rising tariffs and healthcare costs have increased business expenses [7] Earnings Season - The earnings season for Q4 2025 will commence this week, with major banks including JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs set to report [8] Sector Events - The second China eVTOL Innovation Development Conference is scheduled for January 15-16, 2026, in Shanghai, focusing on the new commercial era of eVTOL [10] - The fourth Data Center Liquid Cooling & AI Chip Thermal Management Supply Chain Conference will be held on January 14-15, 2026, in Shenzhen [10] - China's first comprehensive law in the nuclear energy sector, the Atomic Energy Law, will take effect on January 15, 2026 [11] Individual Company News - Hangyu Technology announced on January 11 that it has repurchased 752,800 shares, with plans to sell them within six months [13] - Huadong Medicine's subsidiary has developed a breakthrough treatment for severe hypertriglyceridemia, which has been included in the list of breakthrough therapies by the National Medical Products Administration [13] - Jingfeng Mingyuan plans to acquire 100% of Sichuan Yichong Technology Co., with a key review meeting scheduled for January 16, 2026 [13] - TSMC has commenced research on its next-generation 1.4nm process, with risk trial production expected to start in 2027 [13] Lock-up Expiration - From January 12 to January 16, 2026, 23 companies will have lock-up shares released, totaling 2.434 billion shares with a market value of approximately 48.56 billion yuan [16] - The highest market value of lock-up shares released on January 12 is from Tianxin Pharmaceutical at 7.84 billion yuan [17] New Stock Calendar - Two new stocks are set to be issued this week, with a total issuance of approximately 34 million shares and expected fundraising of 1.909 billion yuan [19] Market Outlook - The current market enthusiasm is driven by concentrated inflows from previously cautious funds, with expectations for continued momentum in thematic and small-cap stocks until after the Two Sessions [22] - Guojin Securities suggests that the spring market is likely to perform well, with a focus on AI investments and the recovery of domestic manufacturing [23] - Everbright Securities anticipates sustained market heat but warns of potential cooling as the Lunar New Year approaches, recommending attention to sectors like electronics and power equipment [24]