【公募基金】权益市场交投活跃，顺势而为避免追高——公募基金指数跟踪周报（2026.01.05-2026.01.09）

Equity Market Review and Outlook - The A-share market continued its upward trend in the first week of 2026 (January 5-9), with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a 16-day winning streak and surpassing 4100 points. Major broad-based indices generally rose and reached new highs during the week [1][5] - Market trading remained highly active, with Friday's trading volume returning to the peak of 3 trillion yuan, and the margin financing and securities lending scale exceeding 2.6 trillion yuan, setting a new historical high [1][5] - The market's robust performance was primarily driven by bottom-up growth themes, particularly in technology sectors such as AI applications, commercial aerospace, and brain-computer interfaces, with small and mid-cap stocks significantly outperforming [1][5] - The brain-computer interface sector was notably active, driven by expectations of Neuralink's mass production and the establishment of domestic companies, alongside positive sentiment from the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5][6] - The commercial aerospace sector also saw continuous attention due to an IPO boom and supportive policies, with funds increasingly focusing on sub-sectors like space computing and solar power in space [6] Fixed Income Market Review and Outlook - The bond market experienced a "V-shaped reversal" during the week, with the 1-year government bond yield declining by 4.35 basis points to 1.29%, while the 10-year and 30-year government bond yields rose by 3.55 basis points to 1.88% and 4.95 basis points to 2.30%, respectively [2][9] - The bond market sentiment showed slight stabilization, but the likelihood of interest rate cuts in the medium term remains low, and further monetary policy easing is not expected [2][9] - Despite the better-than-expected implementation of new public fund fee regulations, the bond market lacks positive catalysts, and with the ongoing spring rally in the equity market, the bond market may experience short-term rebounds but is likely to maintain a neutral stance in the medium term [2][9] Macro Economic Outlook - The U.S. job market shows resilience but also structural pressures, with inflation data expected to have limited risk of a strong rebound. The market has already priced in the likelihood of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates in January [7][8] - Overall market liquidity is neutral to optimistic, with potential continued inflows of external funds due to profit-taking effects, suggesting that the market may continue its upward trend [7][8]