存储厂商，谨慎扩产

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights an unprecedented supply shortage in the global memory market driven by the rapid development of AI infrastructure, despite high demand from PC and smartphone manufacturers [1] - Major tech companies like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta are projected to have a combined capital expenditure of $407 billion in 2025, increasing to $523 billion in 2026, which is fueling demand for NAND Flash and HDD [2] - The memory industry is experiencing a generational supply-demand imbalance, with the total shipment growth rate for NAND Flash and HDD expected to reach 19% over the next four years, significantly higher than the past decade's average of 14% [2] Group 2 - Memory manufacturers are exercising extreme restraint in increasing production capacity due to past painful losses and a cautious strategy influenced by Wall Street, despite the current high prices and shortages [3] - Micron recently achieved record quarterly sales and operating profits, while Samsung anticipates a threefold increase in operating profit for Q4 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 [2] - Analysts believe that memory chip and HDD prices will remain high through 2026, and if demand continues to be strong, the current upward cycle could last for several years [4]