Token售卖已无溢价、大模型公司转型“系统商”？记忆张量 CTO 李志宇：智能体能力会拉开差距，长期记忆与状态管理成竞争核心

Core Insights - The article discusses the evolution of AI companies and technologies, emphasizing the shift from merely scaling models to developing sustainable systems that incorporate memory and state management capabilities [2][4][17]. Group 1: Industry Trends - In 2025, notable companies like MiniMax and Zhipu have emerged, aiming for IPOs, but face challenges such as severe losses and production ratios [4]. - The pressure on tech companies has intensified, with a focus on system efficiency and sustainable technology accumulation rather than just chasing model parameters [5]. - The competition landscape is shifting from a focus on individual model capabilities to a broader emphasis on system-level capabilities, including memory management and reasoning [17]. Group 2: Technological Developments - The trend of using large-scale synthetic data is growing, but it is not expected to completely replace human-annotated data; high-quality synthetic data must be carefully constructed [9]. - Significant advancements in model capabilities have been observed, particularly in complex instruction understanding and multi-step reasoning stability [10]. - The introduction of Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture has become mainstream due to its cost-effectiveness, balancing parameter efficiency and inference costs [12]. Group 3: Future Directions - The next major leap in AI models is anticipated to come from advancements in memory management, transitioning from static parameter storage to dynamic memory systems that support long-term tasks [18]. - The competition in AI is expected to focus on the development of intelligent agents, with a need for models to enhance reasoning, state understanding, and collaboration with tools [15]. - Companies are likely to explore value-added services beyond just selling model tokens to maintain profitability amid increasing price competition [16].