汽车琰究·2026-01-13 00:05Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the demand for automobiles is driven by the continuation of the trade-in policy, leading to an unexpected penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs) and improved profitability through high-end products and overseas expansion [3][4][5][6][7][8] Group 2 - In 2025, the cumulative wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 24.119 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.6%, with NEVs growing by 30.7% [3][8] - The penetration rate of NEVs in wholesale sales was 50.4%, up by 7.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the penetration rate for insurance reached 53.3%, an increase of 6.6 percentage points [3][46] - The share of domestic passenger cars in wholesale sales reached 69.3%, a year-on-year increase of 4.9 percentage points, with brands like Geely, Xiaomi, and Leap Motor showing significant growth [3][50] Group 3 - Looking ahead to 2026, the trade-in policy is expected to continue, supporting demand, with projected insurance sales of 22.32 million units, a decrease of 5.0% year-on-year, and wholesale sales of 30.10 million units, an increase of 1.0% [4][5] - The NEV insurance sales are expected to reach 13.8 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, while wholesale sales are projected to be 17.3 million units, up by 13.4% [4][15] Group 4 - The competitive landscape is shifting, with joint ventures declining and domestic brands accelerating their rise in the mid-to-high-end market [5][10] - In the 5-15 million price range, price-sensitive consumers are expected to drive competition, while brands like Geely, BYD, and Leap Motor are anticipated to gain higher sales growth due to their advantages in intelligence and cost-effectiveness [5][10] Group 5 - The article highlights the acceleration of intelligent driving technology, with major players like Huawei and BYD pushing for the democratization of advanced driving features [6][10] - The L3 commercial deployment is expected to gain momentum in 2026-2027, with various automakers launching new high-level driving systems and models [6][10] Group 6 - The export of passenger cars is projected to reach 6.64 million units in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, driven by the technological advantages of domestic NEVs and the expansion of overseas manufacturing [7][11] - Companies like BYD and Geely are expected to increase their export efforts, with BYD establishing overseas factories and Geely accelerating NEV exports [7][11]