Core Viewpoint - The market has experienced a healthy adjustment after a 17-day rally, with high-level sectors like commercial aerospace, communication, computer, and electronics undergoing corrections. This adjustment is seen as beneficial for the continuation of the spring market trend, with active trading volumes remaining above 3.6 trillion yuan [1]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The spring market is expected to continue its development in January, driven by the growth narrative in technology and rising raw material prices, with AI industry investment being a key driver [1]. - The factors limiting further upward movement in A-shares are anticipated to gradually dissipate, allowing for a more favorable market environment [1]. Group 2: Hot Sectors - In January, the technology and raw material price increase sectors are expected to dominate, with a focus on future industries such as commercial aerospace, brain-computer interfaces, low-altitude economy, and semiconductors [2]. - The trend of AI hardware remains strong, with a significant increase in token usage for major AI models, indicating a peak in AI applications by 2026 [2]. - The domestic production of robots and their integration into daily life is a confirmed trend for 2026, with opportunities arising in sensors, controllers, and dexterous hands [2]. - The semiconductor industry is moving towards domestic production, with attention on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [2]. - The demand for new energy materials is rapidly increasing due to domestic and overseas energy storage needs, leading to supply shortages and price increases, a trend expected to continue until 2026 [2]. - The innovative drug sector is entering a recovery phase after four years of adjustment, with positive net profit growth for four consecutive quarters since Q3 2024, and a fundamental turning point expected in 2025 [2].
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申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部·2026-01-14 02:07