【光大研究每日速递】20260116

Macro Insights - China's exports showed a year-on-year growth of 6.6% in December 2025, with an annual growth rate of 5.5%, driven primarily by high-tech products, integrated circuits, and automobiles. The outlook for exports remains optimistic despite a high comparative base in 2026, supported by overseas fiscal expansion and alignment of China's advantageous industries with global demand [5] - In the U.S., retail sales data for November 2025 indicated a month-on-month increase of 0.6%, surpassing expectations. The rebound in consumer data is attributed to the resolution of tariff policies and government shutdown impacts, with expectations for significant economic data improvements in Q1 2026 if government operations stabilize [5] Industry Developments - The State Grid of China plans to invest 4 trillion yuan in fixed assets during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, representing a 40% increase from the previous plan. This investment aims to enhance the new power system's industrial chain and supply chain, reinforcing the State Grid's role as an economic stabilizer [6] Company Performance - CITIC Bank reported a slight decline in operating revenue to 212.5 billion yuan for 2025, a decrease of 0.5% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 3% to 70.62 billion yuan. The bank's expansion remains steady, with a stable profit growth rate [7] - Li Ning Company announced a low single-digit year-on-year decline in retail revenue for Q4 2025, with offline and online channels experiencing mid-single-digit and flat growth, respectively. The company anticipates new contributions from upcoming Olympic and outdoor series [7]