速递｜抱紧司美格鲁肽，圣诺生物净利最高暴增307%

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the exceptional performance of Shengnuo Biopharmaceuticals, which is expected to achieve a net profit of 152 million to 190 million yuan in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 204.42% to 280.53% [6]. Group 1: Company Performance - Shengnuo Biopharmaceuticals' projected net profit for 2025 is significantly higher than market expectations, with a forecasted increase of 1.02 billion to 1.40 billion yuan compared to the previous year [6]. - In contrast, the company's performance in 2024 showed a mere 4.84% revenue growth to 456 million yuan, with a net profit decline of 28.88% to 50.02 million yuan due to pricing pressures and increased R&D investments [6]. - The surge in 2025 is attributed to the overseas demand for GLP-1 raw materials, particularly for drugs like semaglutide and tirzepatide, which has led to a 232.3% increase in raw material revenue [8]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The global market for GLP-1 drugs is expanding rapidly, with predictions that the annual demand for GLP-1 raw materials could reach 50 tons by 2030 [9]. - The expiration of key patents for semaglutide in 2026 is expected to trigger a surge in the development and approval of generic and modified drugs, further increasing demand for raw materials [9]. - Shengnuo Biopharmaceuticals is positioned competitively in the domestic market, with an expected total production capacity of approximately 1.25 tons of peptide raw materials by the end of 2025 [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The growth logic for GLP-1 raw materials is anticipated to continue, with a tight supply-demand balance expected to persist in the short term [9]. - The industry is entering a phase of capacity competition, with several companies accelerating production, which may lead to price competition and margin pressure [9]. - Shengnuo Biopharmaceuticals' success in 2025 is seen as a result of strategically capitalizing on the global demand for GLP-1 raw materials, rather than a mere short-term luck [9].