跌破800万，出生人口，该稳住了

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the critical issue of declining birth rates in China, emphasizing the need for policies to stabilize and encourage population growth, particularly through marriage and childbirth incentives [4][10]. Group 1: Population Statistics - As of the end of 2025, China's total population is projected to be 1.405 billion, a decrease of 3.39 million from the previous year [6]. - The birth rate for the year is expected to be 7.92 million, with a birth rate of 5.63‰ and a death rate of 8.04‰, resulting in a natural growth rate of -2.41‰ [7]. Group 2: Policy Initiatives - Recent meetings have highlighted the importance of promoting a positive marriage and childbirth culture, with a specific focus on stabilizing the number of new births [10][14]. - The government is implementing various measures to stimulate childbirth, including financial incentives and educational reforms, aiming to create a more supportive environment for families [35][39]. Group 3: Marriage Trends - There has been a notable increase in marriage rates, with 5.152 million couples marrying in the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8.5% year-on-year increase [22]. - Major cities are experiencing significant growth in marriage registrations, with Shanghai seeing a 38.7% increase and Shenzhen a 28.7% increase [24]. Group 4: Future Projections - The article suggests that the number of births may rebound in 2026, driven by the increase in marriage rates and supportive policies [18][32]. - While short-term improvements are expected, the article cautions that reversing the long-term decline in birth rates will require sustained efforts and comprehensive policy measures [33][42].