【合资篇】新的一年开始了，各家的情况都怎么样？

Core Viewpoint - The automotive market is experiencing a cautious start to the year, with customer foot traffic and orders showing slight declines compared to previous periods, influenced by policy changes and customer sentiment towards pricing and incentives [6][11][22]. Group 1: Customer Behavior and Market Trends - Customer foot traffic has decreased by approximately 10% compared to last year, with a notable drop in orders, reaching only one-third of last year's levels [6][9]. - Many customers are hesitant to make purchases, with a significant portion waiting for potential new policies or better pricing after the Chinese New Year [7][21]. - The majority of current buyers are driven by urgent needs, such as first-time purchases or vehicle replacements due to accidents [7][9]. Group 2: Pricing and Promotions - There have been no new promotional policies introduced, with most incentives remaining consistent with the previous year, although some models have seen slight increases in trade-in support [12][24]. - The average transaction prices have increased by about 1% compared to December, with smaller vehicles rising by 2,000-3,000 and larger vehicles by 3,000-5,000 [14][15]. - The perception of higher prices has led some customers to reconsider their purchasing decisions, with many opting to wait for potential future discounts [21][25]. Group 3: Sales Performance and Forecast - Despite a slight increase in orders by around 20% compared to the previous month, the overall sentiment remains cautious, with concerns about the sustainability of sales driven by current policies [24][28]. - The sales performance is heavily reliant on existing policies, and there are worries that the current sales figures are only two-thirds of what they were in previous years [29]. - The first quarter is expected to be challenging, with a significant portion of sales coming from online orders rather than in-store visits, indicating a lack of confidence among potential buyers [27][28].