“申”挖数据 | 估值水温表

Core Viewpoint - The current A-share Buffett indicator stands at 94.42%, which is above the safe zone, indicating potential caution for investors [6][22]. Valuation Historical Percentile Levels - The PE valuation (TTM) of major broad market indices is above the 20% percentile level of the CSI 500. The PE valuations for the Northbound 50, CSI 300, SSE 50, SZSE Component Index, SSE Composite Index, STAR 50, and CSI A100 are at 81.15%, 83.46%, 83.84%, 89.52%, 96.48%, 98.16%, and 99.66% respectively, suggesting relatively high valuations and associated risks [7]. - In terms of industry, the PE valuations (TTM) for the food and beverage, non-bank financials, and agriculture sectors are below the 20% historical percentile levels, at 6.17%, 10.76%, and 19.15% respectively, indicating potential investment opportunities. Conversely, sectors like steel, media, automotive, telecommunications, electronics, computing, real estate, and retail have PE valuations at 80.40% to 98.43% historical percentiles, warranting caution [7]. Key Index Valuation Performance - The PE valuation levels for key indices show significant increases, with the CSI 500 at 37.38 (up 10.50%), STAR 50 at 177.33 (up 10.33%), and the semiconductor index at 137.68 (up 14.92%) [11][14][26]. Overall Market Valuation Levels - The overall market PE valuation levels indicate that the SSE Composite Index is at 17.02 (up 2.91%), the SZSE Component Index at 32.94 (up 4.76%), and the ChiNext Index at 43.02 (up 4.24%) [26]. - The overall market PB valuation levels show the SSE Composite Index at 1.54 (up 2.99%), the SZSE Component Index at 2.90 (up 4.87%), and the ChiNext Index at 5.79 (up 4.28%) [28]. Industry Valuation Levels - The PE valuation levels across various industries reveal that agriculture is at 23.31 (down 3.24%), basic chemicals at 32.03 (up 5.78%), and steel at 32.36 (up 0.25%) [33]. - The PB valuation levels for industries show agriculture at 2.54 (down 2.31%), basic chemicals at 2.37 (up 5.80%), and steel at 1.19 (up 0.85%) [37]. - The PS valuation levels indicate agriculture at 1.07 (down 1.46%), basic chemicals at 2.03 (up 6.75%), and steel at 0.54 (down 0.04%) [41].