40000亿!为什么大搞电力建设?
债券笔记·2026-01-20 10:33

Core Viewpoint - The State Grid of China plans to invest 4 trillion yuan in the power grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, aimed at addressing the growing electricity demand and enhancing the power transmission system [3][10]. Group 1: Electricity Demand Growth - The increasing electricity demand in China is likened to a "big eater" that requires more resources, driven by high-energy consumption sectors such as AI computing, electric vehicles, and data centers [5][6]. - By July 2025, China's monthly electricity consumption is expected to exceed 1 trillion kilowatt-hours, equivalent to the annual output of 1.3 Three Gorges power stations, with projections indicating total electricity consumption will surpass 13 trillion kilowatt-hours by 2030 [6][10]. Group 2: Renewable Energy Challenges - Renewable energy sources like wind and solar power are inconsistent, leading to inefficiencies in electricity generation, particularly in western regions where utilization rates are significantly low [7][8]. - The need for a more efficient power transmission system is emphasized, with plans to increase cross-regional transmission capacity by over 30%, akin to expanding a two-lane road to an eight-lane highway [9][10]. Group 3: Investment Implications - The 4 trillion yuan investment is viewed as a comprehensive upgrade of China's power system, aiming to create a smarter, greener, and more efficient electricity network [10][11]. - This investment is crucial for ensuring that the power system can meet future demands, particularly as new technologies and electric consumption patterns emerge, positioning electricity as the "oxygen" of modern society [11].