机构市场配置意愿增强，石油石化龙头个股领涨

Group 1 - The oil and petrochemical sector showed strong performance driven by multiple factors including rising refined oil prices, geopolitical risks boosting crude oil expectations, continuous capital inflow, and strong performance from leading stocks [2] - Leading stocks surged, with companies like Huibo Petroleum (002554.SZ) and Intercontinental Oil & Gas (600759.SH) hitting the daily limit, while others like Tongyuan Petroleum (300164.SZ) and Zhongman Petroleum (603619.SH) saw increases exceeding 5% [2] - The overall market sentiment was positive, with institutional capital showing increased willingness to allocate funds to the sector, leading to a net inflow of capital [3] Group 2 - The petrochemical ETF (159731) rose by 10%, with a total net inflow of 344 million yuan over the past 10 days, reaching a record high of 625 million yuan [3] - Major funds concentrated on refining chemicals and oil and gas extraction, with the sector rising 0.91% and a trading volume of 16.73 billion yuan [3] - Specific stock movements included Guangju Energy (000096.SZ) with the highest net inflow of 14.69 million yuan, while Shenke Co. (002278.SZ) experienced a significant net outflow of 51.44 million yuan [3] Group 3 - Analysts predict that the domestic gasoline price will rise to 7,380 yuan/ton by the end of January, reflecting a 0.82% increase, while diesel prices are expected to decrease to 6,080 yuan/ton, a 1.59% drop [4] - The recent adjustment in refined oil pricing mechanism led to an increase of 85 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel, which may enhance profit expectations for downstream refining companies [4] - Geopolitical disturbances have led to a recent increase in international crude oil prices, with WTI closing at $60.34/barrel and Brent at $64.92/barrel, reflecting short-term support from geopolitical and inventory data [5] Group 4 - The 2026 energy economic forecast suggests that fundamental changes in the international crude oil market will continue, with increased downward pressure on oil prices due to a loose supply-demand balance [6] - Projected average prices for Brent and WTI crude oil are expected to be between $53-$63/barrel and $49-$59/barrel, respectively [6]