5年磨一剑的《明日方舟：终末地》公测，年流水目标剑指150亿？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated success of the game "Arknights: End of the World," predicting it could achieve over 15 billion in revenue by 2026, although some insiders consider this estimate overly optimistic [5]. Group 1: Game Launch and Initial Reception - "Arknights: End of the World" successfully launched on January 22, 2026, after a long wait of over four years since the project was first demonstrated in 2022 [2][3]. - Early player engagement was strong, with many players sharing "graduation screenshots," indicating significant spending on core characters [3]. Group 2: Revenue Potential and Market Position - An experienced investor in the gaming sector believes that the game's quality could lead to a revenue exceeding 15 billion, while some insiders express skepticism about this optimistic forecast [5]. - The game is expected to capture a large market share in the second-tier gaming market in 2026, especially as other major developers lack strong new releases [5]. Group 3: Game Mechanics and Monetization - The game follows a traditional gacha model but is considered more player-friendly compared to competitors, as it does not mix character and equipment pools, allowing for higher control over spending [6]. - The main gameplay draws inspiration from Japanese RPGs, while the secondary gameplay involves factory-building mechanics, which may appeal to a niche audience [7]. Group 4: Operational Challenges - Initial operational issues were noted, including slow download speeds and payment processing problems, which affected player experience on launch day [8][10]. - A specific incident involved a Twitch streamer experiencing unauthorized charges due to payment system errors, highlighting the need for operational adjustments [12][14]. Group 5: Future Expectations - Despite the initial operational flaws, industry expectations for "Arknights: End of the World" remain high, with ample time for the project team to make necessary adjustments [16].