国泰海通证券研究·2026-01-23 12:04Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continued growth of fixed income and the strategic adjustments in equity exposure amidst market fluctuations, with a notable increase in financial bonds [1][2]. - In Q4 2025, the net subscription for fixed income + funds reached 160.55 billion units, showing a significant growth trend despite being lower than Q3 2025, primarily concentrated in secondary bond funds [1]. - Convertible bond funds saw a net subscription of 2.014 billion units in Q4 2025, maintaining a positive subscription trend for two consecutive quarters [1]. Group 2 - Institutional behavior regarding convertible bonds remains diverse, with public funds, social security, and trusts reducing their holdings in October and November, likely for profit-taking, followed by a renewed allocation in December [2]. - Insurance funds significantly reduced their convertible bond holdings, with a decrease of over 50% in face value by the end of 2025 compared to the beginning of the year [2]. - Public funds are actively seeking alternative bottom assets, showing a reduction in bank convertible bonds primarily due to the delisting of the Pudong Development Bank convertible bond, while still demonstrating a strong inclination to increase holdings in other sectors like electronics and defense [2]. Group 3 - In terms of marginal increases, public funds are diversifying their allocation while maintaining core themes, with notable increases in convertible bonds related to power equipment and oil and petrochemicals, as well as defense and military industries [3]. - Specific convertible bonds such as Long 22 and Jingneng convertible bonds have seen significant increases in holdings, reflecting resource and geopolitical logic [3]. - Other sectors like steel and basic chemicals are also seeing increased allocations, indicating a broader trend of investment across various cyclical and manufacturing chains [3].