美联储继任主席牵动市场：申万期货早间评论-20260126

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential nomination of Rick Rieder from BlackRock as the new Federal Reserve Chair, with his nomination probability rising from 4% to around 50% following praise from President Trump [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has announced the addition of 14 new futures and options products for specific domestic varieties, aiming to facilitate the participation of foreign traders [1] - Spot gold has surpassed the $5000 per ounce mark for the first time in history, currently up by 0.5%, while silver has increased by nearly 2% [1] Group 2 - Precious metals are experiencing a surge, with international gold prices breaking the $5000 mark and silver surpassing $100, driven by rising geopolitical uncertainties and increased market demand for safe-haven assets [2] - Macroeconomic indicators show easing inflation pressures in the U.S. and continued weak employment, suggesting that the Federal Reserve will maintain a loose monetary policy, supporting the long-term upward trend of gold prices [2] - Silver and platinum, benefiting from both financial and industrial demand, are expected to see price increases supported by macroeconomic conditions and supply-demand gaps [2] Group 3 - U.S. stock markets showed mixed results, with the power equipment sector leading gains while the communication sector lagged, and total market turnover reached 3.12 trillion yuan [3] - The increase in financing balance by 3.972 billion yuan to 27.07543 trillion yuan indicates a positive trend in the stock market, driven by technological cycles, policy benefits, economic recovery, and foreign capital inflows [3] - The ongoing supply-side reforms are expected to boost commodity prices and resource stocks, with the stock market likely to continue its upward trajectory [3] Group 4 - The article highlights the tightening supply of copper, with smelting profits at breakeven levels, while overall production remains high despite a slight month-on-month decline [18] - The National Bureau of Statistics reports stable electricity investment and positive growth in automotive production and sales, while the real estate sector remains weak [18] - Global copper supply-demand expectations are shifting towards a deficit due to supply disruptions, with potential for short-term price corrections [18]