集思录·2026-01-26 13:19Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment potential of certain stocks, particularly focusing on banks and utility companies, suggesting that holding these stocks can provide stable returns over time, especially in a bullish market or during a style rotation [1][16]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Companies like China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, Yangtze Power, and China Mobile are highlighted as potential investments, with the worst-case scenario being the collection of dividends over time [1]. - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio of China Merchants Bank is approximately 0.89, which is historically low, indicating that the opportunity outweighs the risk [3]. - The article suggests that convertible bonds are currently overpriced, and many investors may have forgotten the risks associated with them, as seen in previous years [3][4]. Group 2: Comparisons Between Investment Types - The article contrasts convertible bonds with the mentioned stocks, arguing that the latter lacks investor-friendly features such as buyback options and downwards adjustments [14]. - It is noted that while convertible bonds have protective clauses, many investors are primarily attracted to the potential for price appreciation rather than the guaranteed returns [16]. - The discussion includes the idea that the current low prices of certain stocks may present a buying opportunity, especially as they are core assets that could rebound [16]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Historical Context - The article reflects on past market behaviors, mentioning that sectors like real estate and liquor have faced significant downturns, which raises concerns about the stability of banks [6][7]. - There is a sentiment that the current market conditions may lead to a rotation in asset classes, suggesting that the undervalued stocks could start to gain traction [16]. - The potential for a bullish market or style rotation is emphasized, indicating that these stocks could experience a rebound in value [16].