Altman承认“搞砸了”！曝 GPT-5.2 牺牲写作换顶级编程，明年成本降 100 倍，实锤Agent 已能永久干活

Core Viewpoint - Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, emphasizes the transformative potential of AI, particularly with the upcoming GPT-5 and its successors, highlighting a shift towards low-cost, high-speed intelligence generation [4][5][6]. Group 1: AI Development and Performance - The discussion at the seminar focused on the asymmetric performance of GPT-5, which excels in logic and programming but has compromised writing quality compared to GPT-4.5 [4][5]. - Altman acknowledged that the prioritization of reasoning and coding capabilities in GPT-5.2 led to a decline in writing skills, indicating a strategic focus on core intelligence metrics first [5][9]. - Altman predicts that by the end of 2027, the intelligence cost of GPT-5.2 will decrease by at least 100 times, making advanced AI more accessible [5][11]. Group 2: Market Trends and Developer Needs - There is a noticeable shift in developer priorities from cost to speed, as the demand for rapid output increases with the complexity of tasks handled by AI agents [6][11]. - OpenAI may offer two pathways: extremely low-cost intelligence and high-speed feedback systems, indicating a transition from simple Q&A to real-time autonomous decision-making [6][7]. Group 3: Future of Software and Applications - Altman envisions a future where software is not static but dynamically generated to solve specific problems, leading to a highly personalized productivity system for users [7][12]. - The concept of "just-in-time" applications will redefine operating systems, allowing tools to evolve based on individual workflows [7][12]. Group 4: Societal Impact and Ethical Considerations - Altman believes AI will empower individuals by lowering barriers to resources and innovation, but he also warns of potential wealth concentration and emphasizes the need for careful policy-making [8]. - He advocates for a resilient approach to AI safety, particularly in biological security, suggesting a shift from blocking access to building robust systems to manage risks [19][20]. Group 5: Collaboration and Education - Altman argues that AI will enhance human collaboration rather than diminish it, suggesting that AI tools will facilitate teamwork and increase productivity [22][24]. - He expresses concerns about the impact of technology on early childhood education, advocating for limited use of computers in formative years to ensure healthy development [30].