存储芯片“估值抢跑”

Core Viewpoint - The storage chip sector continues to show strength, with companies like Puran Co., Ltd. (688766.SH) experiencing significant stock price increases, driven by market expectations of a price upcycle in the industry [3][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Puran Co., Ltd. is expected to achieve a revenue of 2.32 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28.63%, but a net profit of 205 million yuan, a decrease of 29.89% [5][6]. - The company anticipates a substantial increase in net profit for Q4 2025, projected at 1.46 billion yuan, representing a quarter-on-quarter growth of 711.1% [6][9]. - The growth in Q4 is attributed to product price increases and the successful launch of the "Storage+" series, which has gained market share [6][9]. Group 2: Market Trends - The storage chip industry is experiencing a price upcycle, with several leading companies, including Dongxin Co., Ltd. (688110.SH) and Jiangbolong (301308.SZ), also reaching historical stock price highs [3][8]. - The market is currently characterized by high expectations for 2026 earnings, with a significant focus on whether companies can sustain the high growth rates seen in Q4 2025 [9][10]. - The global storage chip market is projected to grow significantly, with TrendForce forecasting a 134% year-on-year increase in industry value in 2026, reaching $551.6 billion [9][10]. Group 3: Valuation and Expectations - The current high valuations in the storage sector reflect market optimism about future growth potential, with Puran Co., Ltd.'s price-to-earnings ratio (PE) at approximately 298 times [8][9]. - The sustainability of these high valuations will depend on the companies' ability to deliver on earnings expectations in 2026, particularly in the first quarter [9][11]. - Analysts emphasize the importance of identifying companies that can convert cyclical benefits into sustainable growth, focusing on those with technological advantages and strong customer loyalty [10][11].