和讯·2026-01-28 11:13Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.27% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.09%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57% [1] - Over 3600 stocks in the three markets closed lower, with significant gains in sectors like non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, and coal, while solar equipment and biopharmaceuticals faced declines [1] Sector Performance - The weakening US dollar and geopolitical risks led to significant gains in precious metals and oil and gas sectors, while semiconductor and real estate sectors also performed well [2] - Resource sectors attracted substantial capital inflows, with non-ferrous metals leading the way, while previously popular sectors like electric equipment and defense faced capital outflows [3][4] Capital Flow Analysis - The top five sectors for capital inflow included non-ferrous metals (net inflow of 343.73 billion), basic chemicals, building materials, coal, and oil and petrochemicals, indicating a strong preference for resource and cyclical industries [4] - Conversely, the sectors experiencing the most capital outflow were electric equipment, defense, pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, and automotive [4] Stock Performance - The top five stocks for capital inflow were dominated by non-ferrous metals and technology, with China Aluminum and Tongling Nonferrous Metals seeing significant gains [5] - Major outflows were observed in consumer and financial stocks, with Kweichow Moutai experiencing a net outflow exceeding 31 billion [5] Market Dynamics - On January 28, 85 stocks hit the daily limit up, with non-ferrous metals accounting for 41% of these, indicating a strong sector concentration driven by resource and policy factors [6][7] - The market showed a high level of event-driven trading, with significant interest in non-ferrous metals due to global supply chain restructuring and domestic policy support [6][7] Precious Metals Insights - International gold prices surged, reaching a historical high of 5300 USD/oz, with the precious metals index rising by 6.76% [9] - The increase in gold prices was attributed to a significant decline in the US dollar index, which fell to 95.77, the lowest since February 2022, making gold more attractive as a non-dollar asset [10][11] Geopolitical and Economic Factors - Geopolitical tensions and concerns over the US dollar's credibility have driven investors towards gold as a safe-haven asset, reflecting heightened global risk aversion [11] - Central banks' continued purchases of gold and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have further boosted demand for gold ETFs and institutional allocations [12] Domestic Market Trends - Domestic gold prices also rose, with mainstream gold jewelry brands exceeding 1600 CNY/g, driven by strong market demand [13] - The oil sector's rise was primarily due to geopolitical supply disruptions, reflecting a systemic response to both geopolitical risks and a weakening dollar [13]