半导体行业观察·2026-01-29 01:15Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is shifting focus from process technology to advanced packaging as AI chip demand surges and high bandwidth memory (HBM) becomes more prevalent [2][4] - Gartner predicts a 21% growth in the global semiconductor market by 2025, reaching approximately $793.45 billion, with advanced packaging technology becoming a key growth driver [2] - Major players like TSMC, Intel, and Samsung are intensifying their R&D and investments in advanced packaging, leading to heightened competition [2][4] TSMC's Innovations - TSMC's WMCM (Wafer-Level Multi-Chip Module) technology is set to revolutionize packaging for Apple's A20 chip, with mass production expected by the end of 2026 [3] - WMCM integrates memory with CPU, GPU, and NPU on a single wafer, significantly improving signal transmission and thermal performance while reducing costs [3][4] Intel's Strategy - Intel is showcasing its glass substrate technology combined with EMIB (Embedded Multi-Die Interconnect Bridge), aiming to redefine multi-chip interconnect rules [5][9] - The new packaging sample features a large size and advanced stacking architecture, addressing bandwidth limitations for AI accelerators and high-performance computing [5][8] Samsung's Approach - Samsung is focusing on thermal management innovations with its Heat Pass Block (HPB) technology, enhancing heat dissipation in mobile SoCs [10][12] - HPB technology reduces thermal resistance by 16% and lowers chip operating temperatures by 30%, addressing performance throttling in high-load scenarios [12][13] Advanced Packaging Market Trends - The advanced packaging market is characterized by multiple competing technologies, with 2.5D/3D packaging expected to see a compound annual growth rate of 23% from 2023 to 2029 [15] - TSMC's CoWoS capacity is projected to double by 2026, primarily serving major clients like NVIDIA [15][17] Future Directions - Material innovation is crucial for advanced packaging, with glass substrates emerging as a viable alternative to organic substrates due to their superior thermal stability and wiring density [29][30] - Heterogeneous integration is becoming mainstream, allowing for the combination of different chip types within a single package, enhancing performance and efficiency [31][32] - Thermal management is evolving to address the increasing power density of chips, with solutions like HPB setting new benchmarks for packaging-level heat management [33] - Photonic-electronic integration (CPO) is anticipated to revolutionize data transmission, addressing bandwidth and power consumption challenges in data centers [34]