Space X投资人：今年的IPO将是“史上最大造富事件”，马斯克仍被严重低估

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming SpaceX IPO is anticipated to be "the healthiest wealth creation event in history," with its valuation soaring from $36 billion in 2019 to $800 billion [2][15]. Group 1: Investment Insights - Shaun Maguire, a partner at Sequoia Capital, believes the market still undervalues Elon Musk's contributions, particularly highlighting the potential of SpaceX's excess rocket capacity to create a space data center, which he considers one of the largest market opportunities [2][4]. - Sequoia Capital invested approximately $1.2 billion in SpaceX since 2019, which is now valued at around $12 billion, achieving a tenfold return [6]. - The investment decision in 2019 was seen as unconventional, as SpaceX was primarily viewed as a limited growth rocket launch company, with its valuation considered to have little upside potential [9]. Group 2: Business Model and Growth - SpaceX's valuation increase is attributed to four waves of evolution in the Starlink business: consumer network reaching 9.2 million subscribers, enterprise market penetration with airlines, government defense services through the Starshield product line, and the Direct-to-Cell satellite service expected to have 6 million users by the end of 2024 [6][11][12]. - The Direct-to-Cell technology, which allows mobile phones to connect directly to satellites without additional equipment, is projected to become a major revenue source, potentially surpassing consumer network revenues by 2028 [12][14]. - The anticipated reliable production of Starship by 2026 will lead to excess launch capacity, prompting SpaceX to explore the space data center market to address the limitations faced by terrestrial AI data centers [4][13]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - Maguire emphasizes that the future of AI competition will be constrained by physical resources such as power and hardware, which SpaceX, through its collaborations with xAI and Tesla Energy, is well-positioned to leverage [4][14]. - The IPO is expected to differ significantly from past tech IPOs, as SpaceX employees are driven by mission rather than financial gain, fostering a culture that prioritizes long-term goals over immediate wealth [15]. - The next five years are critical for SpaceX, with milestones including the operational normalization of Starship, large-scale deployment of Direct-to-Cell, initiation of the space data center, and preparations for Mars missions [15][16].