当买盘变“炸药”：复盘上周五的金银大屠杀，下一个关键时间点已锁定

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the dramatic fluctuations in the precious metals market, particularly focusing on the unprecedented drop in silver and gold prices, which were driven by speculative trading and external market influences, including U.S. political developments [4][6][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Silver prices experienced a historic drop of 26% in one day, marking the largest decline ever recorded, while gold fell by 9%, representing its worst single-day performance in over a decade [4]. - The surge in metal prices prior to the crash was attributed to speculative buying from various investors, including individual traders and large commodity funds, pushing prices to record highs [6][10]. - The trading environment was described as "parabolic" and "frenzied," with significant volatility observed, particularly during Asian trading hours [5][6]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The immediate trigger for the price drop was the announcement of President Trump's intention to nominate Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve, which strengthened the U.S. dollar and led to profit-taking among investors [4][13]. - Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and geopolitical tensions contributed to the rising prices of metals, as investors sought alternatives to the U.S. dollar [6][10]. - The trading volume for the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) surged to over $40 billion, making it one of the most actively traded securities globally, compared to its previous daily volume of less than $2 billion [7][10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The market's recovery may depend on China's demand for metals following the recent sell-off, with traders observing the opening of the Shanghai Futures Exchange for signs of renewed interest [14]. - Despite the recent downturn, there is potential for a rebound as retail investors are expected to enter the market ahead of the Lunar New Year, although there is a cautious sentiment surrounding silver [14]. - New measures announced by several Chinese banks to mitigate risks associated with personal gold accumulation products may impact the broader trends in the global metals market [14].