吉利汽车 | 1月：插混+出口双增托底 极氪引领增长【国联民生汽车 崔琰团队】

Event Overview - In January 2026, the company reported total sales of 270,167 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 1%. The sales breakdown includes: Geely brand at 217,438 vehicles (down 3%), Galaxy model at 82,990 vehicles (down 11%), Lynk & Co brand at 28,877 vehicles (down 4%), and Zeekr brand at 23,852 vehicles (up 100%). In the new energy sector, pure electric vehicle sales were 68,012 (down 15%), while plug-in hybrid vehicle sales were 56,240 (up 37%). Export market sales reached 60,506 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 121% [2]. Analysis and Judgment - Mainstream brands are undergoing phase adjustments, with high-end brands leading growth. Geely and Lynk & Co saw sales declines of 3% and 4% respectively, while Zeekr achieved a 100% year-on-year growth, indicating strong market acceptance of high-end products. The Galaxy brand is entering the high-end large MPV market, creating a product synergy with Zeekr, establishing a global brand matrix that combines mainstream stability with high-end breakthroughs [4]. - The new energy sector shows differentiated development, with plug-in hybrid vehicles growing by 37%, meeting market demands for low fuel consumption and extended range. Pure electric vehicle sales declined by 15%, but improvements are expected with product iterations and technological upgrades. The export market experienced a significant growth of 121%, transitioning from simple product exports to localized operations, becoming a key source of sales growth for the company [5]. - The company is enhancing long-term competitiveness through technological collaboration. A joint venture with a leading industry testing and R&D institution focuses on core automotive technology development and testing services, creating a complementary advantage of "authoritative certification + practical R&D." The company is also investing in smart technology, launching an AI 2.0 platform with advanced driving systems and hardware, and plans to complete the first solid-state battery pack by 2026, which will support brand upgrades and product iterations [6]. Financial Projections - The company expects revenues of 404.78 billion, 489.69 billion, and 572.83 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 16.21 billion, 22.09 billion, and 25.97 billion RMB for the same years. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.49, 2.03, and 2.38 RMB. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are estimated at 10, 7, and 6 for the respective years, maintaining a "recommended" rating [7][8].