1850亿美元“不得不花”，谷歌最新回应

Core Viewpoint - Alphabet (Google's parent company) signals that the AI arms race is far from over and has just entered the "deep water" phase [2] Financial Performance - Q4 performance exceeded expectations across the board, but the market was unsettled by the company's capital expenditure guidance of $175 billion to $185 billion for 2026 [3] - The significant capital expenditure raises concerns about depreciation pressure and potential erosion of profit margins, leading to a slight decline in the company's stock price post-announcement [4] Capital Expenditure Insights - CEO Sundar Pichai and CFO Anat Ashkenazi elaborated on the necessity of high expenditures, emphasizing the commercial prospects of AI agents and a major partnership with Apple [6] - The capital expenditure forecast for 2026 is set between $175 billion and $185 billion, with investments expected to increase gradually each quarter [8] - Approximately 60% of the capital expenditure will be allocated to servers, while 40% will go towards long-cycle assets like data centers and network equipment [9] - Increased infrastructure investment will lead to a significant rise in depreciation expenses, with an accelerated growth rate expected in 2026 [10] AI and Software Market Dynamics - In response to fears of AI disrupting traditional software business models, Pichai positioned Google as an ally to SaaS companies, stating that Gemini is becoming the "engine" for successful software firms [11] - 95% of the top 20 SaaS companies and over 80% of the top 100 are utilizing Gemini, indicating strong integration of AI into their workflows [11] - Google confirmed a deep partnership with Apple, positioning itself as the preferred cloud provider and developing the next generation of Apple Foundation models based on Gemini technology [12][13] AI Commercialization and User Engagement - The Gemini App has surpassed 750 million monthly active users, showcasing its monetization potential [14] - Google is transitioning from mere information retrieval to executing tasks for users through a new business model based on "Agentic AI" [14] - Pichai emphasized that there is no evidence of cannibalization of traditional Google search traffic, describing the current moment as expansionary [16][17] Cloud Business and Infrastructure - Google Cloud's revenue grew by 48%, largely attributed to its AI infrastructure advantages [18] - The company employs a dual strategy in chip development, utilizing both NVIDIA GPUs and its own TPUs [19] YouTube and Waymo Developments - YouTube's ad revenue grew by 9%, impacted by high comparative figures from the previous year, but Shorts now averages over 200 billion views daily [20] - Google confirmed significant investment in Waymo, with plans to expand services to multiple cities in the U.S., the U.K., and Japan [20] Efficiency and Internal Operations - Google is focused on enhancing internal efficiency, having reduced the service unit cost of Gemini by 78% through model optimization and improved utilization [22] - Approximately 50% of the code is now written by coding agents, allowing engineers to focus on more strategic tasks [22]