施罗德基金谢恒：均衡配置下的价值成长

Core Viewpoint - The forum titled "Return of Active Equity" focused on how active equity can generate excess returns, featuring discussions among prominent fund managers from foreign asset management firms [1] Group 1: AI Industry Insights - The AI industry is currently in a phase of continuous expansion, with significant structural changes occurring within the sector [3] - The early days of AI were dominated by OpenAI, but by the end of 2025, Google’s Gemini is expected to make significant advancements, posing a strong challenge to OpenAI [4] - The company has identified investment opportunities in both domestic and overseas computing power, contributing positively to product returns [1][7] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The active equity products managed by the company are benchmarked against a composite of the CSI 800 Index (80%), the Hang Seng Index (10% adjusted for RMB), and a one-year fixed deposit rate (10% after tax) [5][8] - A strict risk control mechanism is in place to prevent fund managers from concentrating investments in a few sectors, maintaining a consistent investment style [5] - The investment approach varies depending on the lifecycle stage of technology; early-stage investments require a broad strategy, while later-stage investments focus on companies with competitive advantages [6] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about two main directions for 2026: the AI sector, particularly focusing on Google's related industry chain, and upstream resources, where supply constraints are expected to drive prices higher [9][10] - Concerns about an AI bubble are addressed, with the distinction made that AI differs fundamentally from the internet business model, lacking the same network effects [10]