18位消费创始人和投资人这样观测潮水的方向丨2026前瞻

Core Viewpoint - The consumption sector is expected to rebound in 2025 after a period of stagnation, with significant activity in the consumer IP, offline retail, and AI integration sectors [5][9]. Group 1: Consumer IP - The consumer IP sector is highlighted as a focal point, with companies like Pop Mart achieving a market value of 400 billion, igniting interest in the industry [5][11]. - The shift towards self-owned IP is emphasized, with companies like Miniso planning to split its TOP TOY brand for independent listing, indicating a trend towards brand ownership and innovation [5][11]. - The market is moving towards original design as a core driver, with a paradigm shift from reliance on licensing and channels to creating unique IP that resonates emotionally with consumers [13][14]. Group 2: Offline Retail - The offline retail landscape is undergoing significant transformation, with traditional supermarkets like Yonghui implementing "fat reform" to adapt to changing consumer needs [6][18]. - The competition is evolving from product-centric to full-chain operational capabilities, with a focus on building trust and efficiency in supply chains [21][22]. - Community-based retail models are emerging as key players, with companies like Mingming Hen Mang achieving a market value nearing 100 billion, indicating a shift towards localized and efficient retail solutions [6][19]. Group 3: Consumption + AI - 2025 is identified as the "year of AI in consumption," with a convergence of technology maturity, user acceptance, and commercial imagination pointing towards a potential explosion in AI-driven consumer products [28][29]. - The focus is on creating emotionally engaging experiences through AI, with various product forms expected to emerge, including AI companions and immersive gaming experiences [28][30]. - The integration of AI into consumer products is anticipated to redefine user interactions, emphasizing the importance of understanding specific scenarios to enhance the value of technology [28][31]. Group 4: Consumer Brands - The competition among consumer brands is shifting towards depth in consumer engagement rather than breadth, with a focus on hard innovation and visible quality improvements [33]. - Brands are expected to adapt to channel-specific demands, moving away from a one-size-fits-all approach to tailored offerings that resonate with distinct consumer segments [34]. - The trend of Chinese dining brands expanding overseas is gaining momentum, with an emphasis on local integration and community responsibility as critical factors for success in foreign markets [35].