1月基金月报 | 股债携手上行,公募基金迎来普涨
Morningstar晨星·2026-02-12 01:02

Macro Economic Overview - The manufacturing PMI for January recorded at 49.3%, down 0.8 percentage points from December's 50.1%, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [3] - January's CPI increased by 0.8% year-on-year, while PPI decreased by 1.9%, showing a mixed inflationary trend [3] A-Share Market Performance - A-shares experienced a strong start in January, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a high of 4190.9 points, marking a new peak since the September 24 market [4] - The technology growth sectors, particularly AI computing and commercial aerospace, led the market rally due to policy support and increased demand [4] - Major indices showed positive performance in January, with the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index rising by 3.85% and 5.08%, respectively [4] - Among 31 Shenwan industry sectors, 26 sectors saw gains, with non-ferrous metals, media, and oil & petrochemicals sectors rising over 15% [4] Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market initially showed weakness due to concerns over supply and interest rate expectations but later recovered as liquidity was injected by the central bank [5][6] - The yields on various government bonds decreased in January, with 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year yields falling to 1.30%, 1.58%, and 1.81%, respectively [6] - The overall return of the bond market, as reflected by the China Bond Index, increased by 0.41% in January [6] Global Economic Indicators - The economic conditions in major Western economies remain in the expansion zone, but growth momentum is showing signs of marginal slowdown [7] - The US Markit Composite PMI for January was 52.8, slightly down from December's 53.0, while the Eurozone's PMI fell to 51.5 from 51.9 [7] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have driven up international commodity prices, with Brent crude oil prices rising by 14.64% in January [7] Fund Performance Insights - The Morningstar China Open-End Fund Index recorded a 4.77% increase in January, with various fund types showing positive returns [15] - Equity funds, particularly small and mid-cap growth funds, outperformed large-cap funds, with mid-cap balanced and growth funds achieving average returns of 9.74% and 9.13%, respectively [19] - QDII funds also performed well, with commodity funds, global emerging market mixed funds, and Greater China mixed funds recording returns of 17.15%, 13.51%, and 8.69% [20]