【公用事业】电改“4号文”:全国统一电力市场顶层文件——碳中和领域动态跟踪(一百七十三)(殷中枢/宋黎超)
光大证券研究·2026-02-12 23:06

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing reforms in China's electricity market, highlighting the transition from the "5 Document" to the "4 Document," which aims to establish a unified national electricity market by 2035, with significant market participation and optimization of resource allocation [4]. Group 1: Electricity Market Reforms - The "4 Document" is a milestone in electricity system reform, aiming for a unified market by 2030, with approximately 70% of electricity being market-based, and full establishment by 2035 [4]. - Key reforms include optimizing electricity resource allocation across regions, facilitating cross-regional trading, and establishing a joint trading model for supply and demand [4]. - The article emphasizes the need to enhance various market functions, including spot markets for price discovery, medium to long-term markets for supply stability, and auxiliary services to support market operations [4]. Group 2: Transition of Power Generation - Traditional coal power is shifting from reliance on long-term contracts to participation in medium to long-term and spot markets, reflecting real-time supply and demand [5]. - Other flexible power sources, such as gas, hydro, and nuclear power, are also being integrated into the market, with new business models being developed [5]. - The national policy aims to address issues related to cross-provincial trading and capacity subsidies for coal power [5]. Group 3: Green Electricity and Environmental Premium - The dual control of energy consumption and carbon emissions is driving the establishment of green certificates, which are crucial for realizing the environmental premium of green electricity [6]. - Green certificates are expected to become a significant revenue stream for green electricity operators, while various applications for renewable energy consumption are being developed [6]. - Enhancing the profitability stability of green electricity is identified as a key prerequisite for advancing electricity marketization [6].